Sunday Night Football gives us a fun one: the Vikings, fresh off a wild 4th-quarter comeback, hosting a Falcons squad that suddenly has juice thanks to 2nd-year QB Michael Penix Jr. The books have Minnesota as the favorite, but is this game as simple as it looks? Let’s break it down.
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
| ATL Falcons | +3.5 -115 | O44.5 -110 | +150 |
| MIN Vikings | -3.5 -105 | U44.5 -110 | -180 |
Odds via DraftKings as of Sunday September 14th – 2:45PM EST
Why Minnesota Backers Feel Confident
- The Vikings scored 21 points in the 4th quarter last week to shock the Bears. Momentum is real, especially at home.
- RB combo of Aaron Jones + Jordan Mason looked solid, combining for over 120 yards in Week 1. Atlanta’s front seven is better, but the Vikes can lean on balance.
- The Falcons’ defense allowed 6.1 yards per play in Week 1. Minnesota has the firepower to exploit that.
Why Atlanta is a Live Dog
- Michael Penix Jr. was sharp in his season debut: 68% completions, 270+ yards, 2 TDs. He wasn’t rattled, and his arm strength opens up big-play shots.
- Falcons’ receivers (London, Pitts, and Bijan out of the backfield) create matchup nightmares if Minnesota overcommits to blitzing.
- Atlanta’s O-line gave up just 1 sack in Week 1.
Trends to Watch
- The Atlanta Falcons have a 2-8 record against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The Minnesota Vikings are 6-3-1 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The Minnesota Vikings are 9-1 as favorites in their last 10 games.
Props to Watch
- Penix Jr. 240+ passing yards over (+110)
- J.J. McCarthy ATTD (+450) and 25+ rushing yards (+155)
- Drake London 70+ receiving yards (-119)
- Kyle Pitts 4+ receptions (+113)
The Picks
- Best Bet: Vikings -3.5
- Lean: Over 44.5
- Props: London 70+ receiving yards and McCarthy 25+ rushing yards